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ASCO 2026: The AI and Spatial Profiling Revolution in Cancer Biomarkers

ASCO 2026: The AI and Spatial Profiling Revolution in Cancer Biomarkers
In this article

Not Just Whether a Target Exists, but Where It Is in the Tumor: Biomarkers Are No Longer Simply “Positive” or “Negative”

An ASCO 2026 perspective Artificial intelligence Digital pathology Spatial profiling Tumor microenvironment Next-generation biomarkers
For many years, biomarkers in cancer treatment were mostly interpreted as “positive” or “negative”: Is HER2 positive? Is PD-L1 high? Is MSI present? Has an EGFR mutation been detected? Yet tumor biology is far more complex. As well as the presence of a target, where that target is located within the tumor, which cells it sits alongside, whether immune cells can enter the tumor, and whether the tumor microenvironment permits treatment are also important. At ASCO 2026, studies of artificial intelligence and spatial profiling pointed to a new era in which biomarkers will be interpreted not merely as “present or absent,” but through questions of where, how much, in what context, and in which cellular neighborhood .
5
ASCO studies
Lunit presented 5 studies using AI-supported IHC and tumor microenvironment analyses
80% vs 36,4%
HER2 + BTC
Higher response in those with an AI-measured proportion of HER2 IHC 3+ tumor cells ≥10%
19,6 vs 11,1 months
Adenoid cystic carcinoma
Longer PFS after axitinib in a subgroup defined by AI spatial profiling
Abstract 107
Multimodal AI
Classification of chemotherapy benefit/risk in node-positive HR+ breast cancer

The old biomarker question: Is the target present?

Modern oncology has long since entered an era in which biomarkers change treatment decisions. Markers such as EGFR, ALK, ROS1, and RET in lung cancer; RAS, BRAF, MSI, and HER2 in colorectal cancer; ER, PR, HER2, and Ki-67 in breast cancer; and BRCA and HRD in ovarian cancer are now integral to everyday practice.

However, the traditional biomarker approach has an important limitation: it often summarizes the tumor with a single average value. For example, we call a tumor “HER2 positive,” but often do not measure in detail whether HER2 is the same in every region of the tumor, where positive cells are concentrated, whether immune cells can enter these HER2-high areas, or whether the stroma surrounds these cells.

What is the limitation of the traditional biomarker approach?
Traditional tests often classify tumors into categories such as “positive-negative,” “high-low,” or “mutant-wild type.” Yet tumor tissue is neither uniform nor homogeneous; different regions may contain different cell densities, levels of immune response, vascular structures, and areas of resistance.

The new question: Where is the target, which cells are beside it, and in what microenvironment?

This is where artificial intelligence and spatial profiling come in. Digital pathology analyzes the whole-slide image at high resolution. AI models can quantify tumor cells, stroma, lymphocytes, vascular cells, areas of necrosis, immune phenotype, and cellular neighborhoods. The pathology slide can thus become more than a diagnostic document: it may turn into a multilayered biological map capable of predicting treatment response.

1. Digital pathology The entire H&E- or IHC-stained slide image is transferred into a digital format.
2. Distinguishing cells and tissues The AI model separates regions such as tumor, stroma, immune cells, vessels, and necrosis.
3. Spatial neighborhood The proximity of cells to one another and whether they enter the tumor are measured.
4. Biomarker model These data may be associated with treatment response, recurrence risk, or survival.
What is spatial profiling?
It means analyzing not only the number of cells in tumor tissue, but also their positions relative to one another. It asks, for example, whether T cells have entered the tumor or remain only at its edge, how they are positioned alongside vascular cells or stroma, and whether tertiary lymphoid structures are present.

An example from ASCO 2026: AI-supported selection in HER2-positive biliary tract cancer

One striking example of this approach at ASCO 2026 was a study in HER2-positive advanced biliary tract cancer. While evaluating a first-line quadruple regimen containing trastuzumab, nivolumab, gemcitabine, and cisplatin, the study examined HER2 expression and immune phenotype together using AI-supported whole-slide analysis.

The multicenter phase Ib/II study included 40 patients . With the treatment combination, the objective response rate was reported as %55, the disease control rate as %95, and median progression-free survival as 10,6 months . The key point, however, was that AI could distinguish which patients might have a higher likelihood of response.

AI-supported biomarker signal in HER2-positive advanced biliary tract cancer

Overall ORR
%55
Overall DCR
%95
ORR when HER2 IHC 3+ ≥10%
%80
ORR when HER2 IHC 3+ <10%
%36,4
This result suggests that response to treatment may be associated not only with whether HER2 is positive or negative, but also with how much is expressed and how it is distributed at the tumor-cell level.

This example shows that AI could go beyond being a simple “tool to assist pathology.” When the amount of target protein, immune phenotype, and tumor microenvironment are analyzed together in the same tissue, patient selection may become more precise.

An immune-cold tumor microenvironment in HER2-high lung cancer

Another analysis presented by Lunit at ASCO 2026 assessed the tumor microenvironment in non-small cell lung cancers with HER2 overexpression. AI-supported spatial analysis of more than two thousand NSCLC whole-slide images reported lower tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte density and a lower proportion of an inflamed immune phenotype in tumors overexpressing HER2.

This finding suggests that HER2-high tumors may have a more “immune-cold” microenvironment in certain contexts. If these results are validated in independent series, it may be necessary to examine not only HER2 level but also the microenvironment map to understand which patients might benefit more meaningfully from combinations of HER2-targeted therapy and immunotherapy.

What does an immune-cold tumor mean?
It refers to tumors with few immune cells within or around them, particularly where T cells cannot adequately enter the tumor tissue. This may be associated with limited response to immunotherapy in some patients.

A spatial signature distinguishing axitinib response in adenoid cystic carcinoma

Another example of AI-supported spatial profiling was presented in adenoid cystic carcinoma. Treatment options for this rare tumor are limited, and predicting response with traditional biomarkers is difficult. AI-based tumor microenvironment analysis reported longer PFS after axitinib in a subgroup with high endothelial-cell and tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte densities: 19,6 months versus 11,1 months.

AI spatial profiling distinguishes PFS after axitinib in adenoid cystic carcinoma

High endothelial-cell + TIL density
19,6 months
Other group
11,1 months
Such data demonstrate the potential to identify responder groups through spatial tissue analysis that traditional single-marker approaches cannot distinguish.

TLS regions in MSS colorectal cancer: Could a door to immunotherapy open?

Microsatellite-stable metastatic colorectal cancer is generally considered resistant to immune checkpoint inhibitors. However, the “MSS” label does not explain all the details of the tumor microenvironment. One AI-supported tumor microenvironment analysis presented at ASCO 2026 showed that larger regions of tertiary lymphoid structures in MSS metastatic colorectal cancer may be associated with better PFS and OS after immunotherapy.

What is a tertiary lymphoid structure?
It is an organized cluster of immune cells within tumor tissue, resembling a lymph node. In some cancers, these structures may be associated with a more effective antitumor immune response and a better response to immunotherapy.

This area is very important: when we place certain tumors into a single “immunotherapy-resistant” category, we may miss small subgroups whose microenvironment actually has the potential for an immune response. AI-supported spatial analysis may provide an opportunity to define these small subgroups more objectively.

Multimodal AI: When pathology, clinical data, and genomic risk enter the same model

Another important direction at ASCO 2026 was multimodal artificial intelligence. Multimodal AI considers not only the pathology image, but also clinical data, age, stage, tumor size, nodal status, treatment information, and genomic data when needed. The aim is to model the entire disease context rather than a single data source, producing more accurate predictions of risk and treatment benefit.

Studies presented by Artera at ASCO 2026 exemplify this direction. A multimodal AI model assessing chemotherapy benefit and prognosis in node-positive HR-positive breast cancer was presented as Abstract #107 in an oral session. Studies on agreement between multimodal AI and the 21-gene Recurrence Score test in early-stage breast cancer, as well as digital-pathology-based risk stratification in prostate cancer, were also presented.

Approach Data used Question addressed Clinical potential
Traditional biomarker Single molecular or IHC marker Is the target present? Determines eligibility for targeted treatment.
Digital pathology AI Whole-slide image What do tumor architecture and cellular patterns tell us? May provide risk stratification and prognosis prediction.
Spatial profiling Cell positions and neighborhoods Have immune cells entered the tumor, and in what context does the target occur? May predict immunotherapy and targeted-treatment response more precisely.
Multimodal AI Pathology + clinical data + genomics if needed How much benefit might this patient derive from which treatment? May support personalized adjuvant or systemic treatment decisions.
Swipe right on mobile to view the entire table.

What could these technologies change in the clinic?

The greatest potential of AI and spatial profiling is to make existing biomarkers more precise. For example, HER2 positivity may no longer be assessed only as “present” or “absent,” but together with the proportion of HER2-high cells, their distribution within the tumor, the presence of neighboring immune cells, and the tumor microenvironment context.

Similarly, immunotherapy decisions may incorporate not only PD-L1 or MSI, but many variables together: whether T cells enter the tumor or remain at its outer edge, TLS presence, the stromal barrier, vascular structure, and macrophage / TIL composition.

The new biomarker paradigm

Old approach: “Is this target present?”
New approach: “Where is the target, how densely is it expressed, which cells are beside it, has the immune system reached the tumor, does the microenvironment permit treatment, and can this information predict treatment response?”

Critical reading: Validation is as necessary as enthusiasm

Points to consider with AI and spatial biomarkers

  • Most data are still investigational: Many of the studies at ASCO 2026 generate clinical hypotheses; they do not directly establish standard treatment decisions.
  • Prospective validation is essential: A model’s success in a retrospective dataset does not mean it will improve patient outcomes in real-time clinical decision-making.
  • Generalizability is an issue: Different hospitals, staining protocols, scanners, ethnic populations, and tumor-sample quality may affect model performance.
  • Explainability matters: A physician cannot leave the treatment decision solely to an algorithm without understanding why the model classifies risk as high or low.
  • Regulation and quality control are needed: AI-based tests must be validated, standardized, and auditable before they can be used clinically.
  • There is a risk of data bias: If a model is trained on data from particular centers, patient groups, or imaging protocols, it may not perform equally well in other populations.
  • Pathologists and oncologists are not replaced: AI does not replace the decision-maker; when well designed, it becomes a decision-support tool for pathologists and oncologists.

A message for Türkiye: Digital pathology and data infrastructure are strategically important

Molecular oncology, NGS panels, and targeted-treatment decisions are increasingly prominent in Türkiye. However, the era of AI and spatial profiling requires not only molecular testing infrastructure but digital pathology infrastructure as well. High-quality tissue processing, standardized staining, high-resolution scanners, secure data storage, pathology-oncology integration, and clinical outcome data are fundamental components of this system.

Therefore, the concept of a “digital pathology and biomarker board” may become as important as a “molecular tumor board” in the coming period. AI models become meaningful only when combined with the right clinical question, high-quality data, and expert interpretation.

How should this be explained to the patient?

“Artificial intelligence can examine the tumor tissue on a pathology slide in greater detail and map the cancer cells, immune cells, and tumor surroundings. In the future, this information may help us predict which treatment could be more effective. However, these technologies are not standard today for every cancer and every patient; more validation is needed for reliable clinical use.”

Drozdogan Academic Commentary

At ASCO 2026, studies of AI and spatial profiling show that biomarkers in oncology are entering a new stage. We are beginning to interpret tumors not only through mutation, expression, or positivity, but also through the spatial relationships among cells, immune-system access to the tumor, and whether the microenvironment permits treatment.

This approach may be particularly valuable where traditional biomarkers fall short. It may become possible to distinguish small subgroups of MSS colorectal cancer that could respond to immunotherapy, patients with HER2-positive tumors who have a higher likelihood of response, or microenvironment signatures sensitive to targeted treatment in rare tumors.

However, the true clinical value of this field will be determined not merely by developing impressive algorithms, but by prospective validation, explainability, standardization, regulation, and the capacity to improve real patient outcomes. The biomarker of the future will be able to read not just the molecule, but the tumor map as well.

Conclusion

ASCO 2026 showed that artificial intelligence and spatial profiling are becoming increasingly visible in oncology. AI-supported HER2/IHC measurement, tumor microenvironment analysis, TIL/TLS mapping, multimodal risk models, and digital-pathology-based prediction of treatment benefit point to a new era in which biomarkers will be interpreted not simply as “positive” or “negative,” but within a multilayered tumor ecosystem.

These technologies are not yet standard in every field, but the direction is clear. The future question in cancer treatment will not simply be “Is there a target in the tumor?” A more precise question will be: “Where in the tumor is this target, alongside which cells, in what microenvironment, and does this map predict the patient’s treatment response?”

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