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Prof. Dr. Mustafa Özdoğan · Medical Oncologist

ASCO Living Guideline for Stage 4 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Without Mutations

ASCO Living Guideline for Stage 4 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Without Mutations
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🌍 Lung cancer remains the most common cancer and the leading cause of cancer death worldwide.

🔍 Lung cancer is primarily divided into non-small cell (NSCLC) and small cell (SCLC) types.

Today, however, including genetic subtypes, more than 20 distinct lung cancer types have been identified.

📌 Unfortunately, more than half of lung cancers are Stage IV at diagnosis.

🧬 Stage IV NSCLC patients frequently have no driver mutation and require a specific treatment approach.

Authoritative organizations such as ASCO publish ‘Living Guidelines’to keep pace with rapidly changing scientific evidence and provide current, practical clinical guidance.

📚 This article examines ASCO’s July 17, 2025 publication for Stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations: the version 2025.1 living guideline update and the key trials shaping it, including NIPPON, HARMONI-2 and DUBLIN-3 in detail.

We also explore how these findings influence treatment strategies and their potential impact on patient management in practice.


1. 🕒 Evolution of the Treatment Paradigm: Timeline

  • 2016: KEYNOTE-024: Pembrolizumab vs chemotherapy—superiority over chemotherapy demonstrated in PD-L1-positive patients.
  • 2019: KEYNOTE-042: Pembrolizumab compared with chemotherapy in a broader PD-L1-positive NSCLC population.
  • 2021: CheckMate 9LA: Initial triplet-regimen data presented for nivolumab + ipilimumab + 2 chemotherapy cycles.
  • 2022: ASCO living guidelines launched —two separate roadmaps for Stage IV NSCLC according to driver mutation status.
  • 2023: Guideline updates: Versions 2022.2, 2022.3, 2023.1 and 2023.2 published.
  • 2024: Guidelines updated with versions 2023.3 and 2024.1.
    • June 2024: DUBLIN-3 published.
    • September 2024: NIPPON (JCOG2007) completed.
  • April 10, 2024: Writing date for the ASCO guideline article (Owen et al.).
  • March 10, 2025: Literature search completed.
  • April 23, 2025: ASCO Evidence-Based Medicine Committee approval granted.
  • March 2025: HARMONi-2 Phase III trial published.
  • June 10, 2025: ASCO guideline article accepted.
  • July 17, 2025: ASCO Living Guideline version 2025.1 (Owen et al.) published, presenting updated treatment recommendations for stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations.

2. Comparing First-Line Immunotherapies: What Does NIPPON Show?

NIPPON (JCOG2007) is the first Phase III study directly comparing two immunotherapy combinations in Stage III–IV NSCLC without driver mutations among these patients.

💉 Compared Regimens

  • Pembrolizumab arm: 4 cycles of carboplatin-based chemotherapy + pembrolizumab → then pembrolizumab maintenance alone (up to 2 years)
  • Nivolumab + ipilimumab arm: 2 cycles of carboplatin-based chemotherapy + nivolumab (q3w) + ipilimumab (q6w) → then dual immunotherapy maintenance

📊 Efficacy Results

Outcome Pembrolizumab Nivo + Ipi Interpretation
Overall survival (OS) 20.5 months 23.7 months Difference not significant (p = 0.46)
Progression-free survival (PFS) 7.4 months 6.0 months Favors pembrolizumab
Objective response rate (ORR) 65% 55% Favors pembrolizumab

⚠️ Safety Findings

Safety Measure Nivo + Ipi Pembrolizumab Interpretation
Grade ≥3 nonhematological adverse events 60% 41% Nivo + Ipi more toxic
Treatment-related death 7% (11/148) 2% (3/144) Careful patient selection essential

According to the ASCO 2025.1 update: Nivolumab + ipilimumab + chemotherapy has only moderate-quality evidence


3. A New Agent on the Horizon? HARMONi-2 and Ivonescimab

HARMONi-2is a randomized, double-blind Phase III first-line trial conducted in China. It directly compared the standard treatment PD-L1-positive (≥1%), EGFR- or ALK-mutation-negativeadvanced or metastatic NSCLC patients receive, pembrolizumab with ivonescimab , a novel agent.

  • Participant number: 398 patients
  • Compared treatments: Ivonescimab (anti-PD-1 + anti-VEGF bispecific antibody) vs Pembrolizumab (anti-PD-1 monotherapy)

📈 Clinical Efficacy: Progression-Free Survival (PFS)

Treatment Arm Median PFS HR (95% CI)
Ivonescimab 11.1 months 0.51 (0.38–0.69)
Pembrolizumab 5.8 months P < .0001

This substantial PFS improvementwas also maintained across histological subtype and PD-L1 subgroup analyses, favoring ivonescimab throughout.

⚠️ Side-Effect Profile

Adverse Effect Ivonescimab Pembrolizumab Interpretation
Grade ≥3 adverse events 29% 16% Ivonescimab more toxic
Immune-related AEs 30% 28% Similar
Serious immune AEs 6% 11% Fewer with ivonescimab

The ASCO 2025.1 guidelinedoes not yet recommend ivonescimab for routine clinical use. The main reasons include a nonglobal patient population, immature OS data and shorter-than-expected PFS in the pembrolizumab arm of the study.


4. A New Second-Line Option? DUBLIN-3 and Plinabulin

DUBLIN-3is a Phase III, single-blind randomized trial involving patients progressing after first-line platinum chemotherapy, with EGFR wild-type NSCLC and comparing docetaxel + plinabulin with docetaxel + placebo in this setting.

Plinabulinis an experimental agent with antitumor and immunomodulatory effects, described as a tubulin polymerization inhibitor . It aims to enhance immune responses by increasing dendritic cell activity during treatment.

  • Total patient number: 559

📊 Clinical Efficacy: Overall Survival (OS)

Treatment Arm Median OS HR (95% CI)
Docetaxel + Plinabulin 10.5 months 0.82 (0.68–0.99)
Docetaxel + Placebo 9.4 months Reference

Although overall survival in the plinabulin arm increased by approximately 1.1 months in absolute terms, statistical significance was borderline in the analysis.

⚠️ Safety Data and Study Limitations

Measure Plinabulin Arm Placebo Arm Interpretation
Grade ≥3 adverse events 33.1% 42% Plinabulin better tolerated
Pre-immunotherapy patient proportion 20% Most patients had not received immunotherapy

According to the ASCO guideline, although DUBLIN-3 shows promise for plinabulin, the vast majority of participants had not received immunotherapy and therefore generalizability to today’s second-line patient population is limited. Consequently, the recommendation level for plinabulin was not changed.


5. New Targets, Clear Messages: Other Guideline Highlights and Future Perspectives

The ASCO 2025.1 living guidelinesummarizes first- and second-line advances in NSCLC without driver mutations, also highlighting specific subgroups and future research areas.

🎯 The Importance of Subgroups: HER2 Overexpression

In NSCLC with high HER2 protein expression, trastuzumab deruxtecanhas emerged as a second-line option with a ‘weak recommendation’ level.

This shows that even in patients thought to have no driver mutation , identifying molecular subgroups can affect treatment decisions.

📌 However, this option was not comprehensively included in the 2025.1 updateand is mentioned here for reference only.

💡 Other Key Messages in Practice Guidance

  • Palliative care: Supportive approaches integrated into patient care should begin early and remain an inseparable part of treatment.
  • Patients unsuitable for immunotherapy: Platinum-based chemotherapy regimens remain valid, effective first-line options.

🔬 What Is Missing? Which Questions Remain Unanswered?

Future research is expected to focus particularly on two areas:

  • Direct comparisons between immunotherapy regimens
  • Testing next-generation molecules in resistant or progressing patient subgroups

🔍 Access to clinical trialsis a fundamental priority for treatment equity. Every patient’s right to participate in these trials is specifically emphasized.


📌 Overall Assessment and Conclusion

The ASCO 2025.1 updateis our most current scientific guide for managing Stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations.

  • NIPPON: Immunotherapy combinations were directly compared for the first time. However, increased mortality with the nivolumab–ipilimumab regimenhighlighted the need for careful patient selection.
  • HARMONi-2: Ivonescimabsignificantly improved progression-free survival, but the lack of global data and insufficient OS data prevented a guideline recommendation.
  • DUBLIN-3: Plinabulin showed an OS advantage, but because the study population largely predates immunotherapy as a treatment era, generalizability is limited.

🧬 The living guideline modelfacilitates access to current, reliable information in rapidly changing oncology practice, strengthening patient-centered decision-making in clinical care.

Sources

Dwight H. Owen et al. Therapy for Stage IV Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer Without Driver Alterations: ASCO Living Guideline, Version 2025.1. JCO 0, JCO-25-01062 DOI:10.1200/JCO-25-01062
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