ASCO Living Guideline for Stage 4 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Without Mutations

In this article
🌍 Lung cancer remains the most common cancer and the leading cause of cancer death worldwide.
🔍 Lung cancer is primarily divided into non-small cell (NSCLC) and small cell (SCLC) types.
Today, however, including genetic subtypes, more than 20 distinct lung cancer types have been identified.
📌 Unfortunately, more than half of lung cancers are Stage IV at diagnosis.
🧬 Stage IV NSCLC patients frequently have no driver mutation and require a specific treatment approach.
Authoritative organizations such as ASCO publish ‘Living Guidelines’to keep pace with rapidly changing scientific evidence and provide current, practical clinical guidance.
📚 This article examines ASCO’s July 17, 2025 publication for Stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations: the version 2025.1 living guideline update and the key trials shaping it, including NIPPON, HARMONI-2 and DUBLIN-3 in detail.
We also explore how these findings influence treatment strategies and their potential impact on patient management in practice.
1. 🕒 Evolution of the Treatment Paradigm: Timeline
- 2016: KEYNOTE-024: Pembrolizumab vs chemotherapy—superiority over chemotherapy demonstrated in PD-L1-positive patients.
- 2019: KEYNOTE-042: Pembrolizumab compared with chemotherapy in a broader PD-L1-positive NSCLC population.
- 2021: CheckMate 9LA: Initial triplet-regimen data presented for nivolumab + ipilimumab + 2 chemotherapy cycles.
- 2022: ASCO living guidelines launched —two separate roadmaps for Stage IV NSCLC according to driver mutation status.
- 2023: Guideline updates: Versions 2022.2, 2022.3, 2023.1 and 2023.2 published.
- 2024: Guidelines updated with versions 2023.3 and 2024.1.
- June 2024: DUBLIN-3 published.
- September 2024: NIPPON (JCOG2007) completed.
- April 10, 2024: Writing date for the ASCO guideline article (Owen et al.).
- March 10, 2025: Literature search completed.
- April 23, 2025: ASCO Evidence-Based Medicine Committee approval granted.
- March 2025: HARMONi-2 Phase III trial published.
- June 10, 2025: ASCO guideline article accepted.
- July 17, 2025: ASCO Living Guideline version 2025.1 (Owen et al.) published, presenting updated treatment recommendations for stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations.
2. Comparing First-Line Immunotherapies: What Does NIPPON Show?
NIPPON (JCOG2007) is the first Phase III study directly comparing two immunotherapy combinations in Stage III–IV NSCLC without driver mutations among these patients.
💉 Compared Regimens
- Pembrolizumab arm: 4 cycles of carboplatin-based chemotherapy + pembrolizumab → then pembrolizumab maintenance alone (up to 2 years)
- Nivolumab + ipilimumab arm: 2 cycles of carboplatin-based chemotherapy + nivolumab (q3w) + ipilimumab (q6w) → then dual immunotherapy maintenance
📊 Efficacy Results
| Outcome | Pembrolizumab | Nivo + Ipi | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall survival (OS) | 20.5 months | 23.7 months | Difference not significant (p = 0.46) |
| Progression-free survival (PFS) | 7.4 months | 6.0 months | Favors pembrolizumab |
| Objective response rate (ORR) | 65% | 55% | Favors pembrolizumab |
⚠️ Safety Findings
| Safety Measure | Nivo + Ipi | Pembrolizumab | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grade ≥3 nonhematological adverse events | 60% | 41% | Nivo + Ipi more toxic |
| Treatment-related death | 7% (11/148) | 2% (3/144) | Careful patient selection essential |
According to the ASCO 2025.1 update: Nivolumab + ipilimumab + chemotherapy has only moderate-quality evidence
3. A New Agent on the Horizon? HARMONi-2 and Ivonescimab
HARMONi-2is a randomized, double-blind Phase III first-line trial conducted in China. It directly compared the standard treatment PD-L1-positive (≥1%), EGFR- or ALK-mutation-negativeadvanced or metastatic NSCLC patients receive, pembrolizumab with ivonescimab , a novel agent.
- Participant number: 398 patients
- Compared treatments: Ivonescimab (anti-PD-1 + anti-VEGF bispecific antibody) vs Pembrolizumab (anti-PD-1 monotherapy)
📈 Clinical Efficacy: Progression-Free Survival (PFS)
| Treatment Arm | Median PFS | HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Ivonescimab | 11.1 months | 0.51 (0.38–0.69) |
| Pembrolizumab | 5.8 months | P < .0001 |
This substantial PFS improvementwas also maintained across histological subtype and PD-L1 subgroup analyses, favoring ivonescimab throughout.
⚠️ Side-Effect Profile
| Adverse Effect | Ivonescimab | Pembrolizumab | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grade ≥3 adverse events | 29% | 16% | Ivonescimab more toxic |
| Immune-related AEs | 30% | 28% | Similar |
| Serious immune AEs | 6% | 11% | Fewer with ivonescimab |
The ASCO 2025.1 guidelinedoes not yet recommend ivonescimab for routine clinical use. The main reasons include a nonglobal patient population, immature OS data and shorter-than-expected PFS in the pembrolizumab arm of the study.
4. A New Second-Line Option? DUBLIN-3 and Plinabulin
DUBLIN-3is a Phase III, single-blind randomized trial involving patients progressing after first-line platinum chemotherapy, with EGFR wild-type NSCLC and comparing docetaxel + plinabulin with docetaxel + placebo in this setting.
Plinabulinis an experimental agent with antitumor and immunomodulatory effects, described as a tubulin polymerization inhibitor . It aims to enhance immune responses by increasing dendritic cell activity during treatment.
- Total patient number: 559
📊 Clinical Efficacy: Overall Survival (OS)
| Treatment Arm | Median OS | HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Docetaxel + Plinabulin | 10.5 months | 0.82 (0.68–0.99) |
| Docetaxel + Placebo | 9.4 months | Reference |
Although overall survival in the plinabulin arm increased by approximately 1.1 months in absolute terms, statistical significance was borderline in the analysis.
⚠️ Safety Data and Study Limitations
| Measure | Plinabulin Arm | Placebo Arm | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grade ≥3 adverse events | 33.1% | 42% | Plinabulin better tolerated |
| Pre-immunotherapy patient proportion | 20% | Most patients had not received immunotherapy | |
According to the ASCO guideline, although DUBLIN-3 shows promise for plinabulin, the vast majority of participants had not received immunotherapy and therefore generalizability to today’s second-line patient population is limited. Consequently, the recommendation level for plinabulin was not changed.
5. New Targets, Clear Messages: Other Guideline Highlights and Future Perspectives
The ASCO 2025.1 living guidelinesummarizes first- and second-line advances in NSCLC without driver mutations, also highlighting specific subgroups and future research areas.
🎯 The Importance of Subgroups: HER2 Overexpression
In NSCLC with high HER2 protein expression, trastuzumab deruxtecanhas emerged as a second-line option with a ‘weak recommendation’ level.
This shows that even in patients thought to have no driver mutation , identifying molecular subgroups can affect treatment decisions.
📌 However, this option was not comprehensively included in the 2025.1 updateand is mentioned here for reference only.
💡 Other Key Messages in Practice Guidance
- Palliative care: Supportive approaches integrated into patient care should begin early and remain an inseparable part of treatment.
- Patients unsuitable for immunotherapy: Platinum-based chemotherapy regimens remain valid, effective first-line options.
🔬 What Is Missing? Which Questions Remain Unanswered?
Future research is expected to focus particularly on two areas:
- Direct comparisons between immunotherapy regimens
- Testing next-generation molecules in resistant or progressing patient subgroups
🔍 Access to clinical trialsis a fundamental priority for treatment equity. Every patient’s right to participate in these trials is specifically emphasized.
📌 Overall Assessment and Conclusion
The ASCO 2025.1 updateis our most current scientific guide for managing Stage IV NSCLC without driver mutations.
- NIPPON: Immunotherapy combinations were directly compared for the first time. However, increased mortality with the nivolumab–ipilimumab regimenhighlighted the need for careful patient selection.
- HARMONi-2: Ivonescimabsignificantly improved progression-free survival, but the lack of global data and insufficient OS data prevented a guideline recommendation.
- DUBLIN-3: Plinabulin showed an OS advantage, but because the study population largely predates immunotherapy as a treatment era, generalizability is limited.
🧬 The living guideline modelfacilitates access to current, reliable information in rapidly changing oncology practice, strengthening patient-centered decision-making in clinical care.
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