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Prof. Dr. Mustafa Özdoğan · Medical Oncologist

An Elevated PSA Result: What Next, and Who Really Benefits From Repeat Testing?

An Elevated PSA Result: What Next, and Who Really Benefits From Repeat Testing?
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Repeat PSA Testing: Which Patients Need It?

"My PSA Is Elevated—What Should I Do?" is one of the most common dilemmas in prostate cancer screening. An elevated PSA level does not always indicate cancer; an enlarged prostate, infection, sexual activity, or other urinary tract problems can also temporarily raise it. Proceeding directly to biopsy after a single elevated PSA result can therefore often lead to unnecessary interventions and anxiety .

For this reason, international guidelines recommend repeating an initially elevated PSA test . However, the benefit of repeat testing is not the same for everyone: some patients' values return to normal on the second test, while persistently elevated PSA in others makes further investigation necessary. The key is to identify which patients will actually benefit from repeat testing.

A large analysis published on 18 September 2025 in JAMA Oncologyexamined data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) screening trial to address this question. The study included 11,176 men aged 54–75 . Participants underwent annual PSA testing and had not been diagnosed with prostate cancer during that period. Three different biopsy thresholds were used to define “elevated PSA”: 2.5 ng/mL, 3.0 ng/mL, and 4.0 ng/mL. Researchers measured the likelihood that results above these thresholds would return to normal a year later.

📊 Study Findings

  • Among those with PSA ≥ 2.5 ng/mL , 22% had a value the following year that fell below 2.5 ng/mL .
  • For PSA ≥ 3.0 ng/mL , the corresponding rate was 25%,
  • and for PSA ≥ 4.0 ng/mL , it was 30%.
  • On a per-patient basis: 54%(≥2.5 ng/mL), 58%(≥3.0 ng/mL), and 62%(≥4.0 ng/mL) returned to normal on subsequent testing.

🧮 Prediction Using a Risk Score

The researchers developed a risk model to calculate the likelihood that PSA levels would return to normal the following year:

  • Persistently elevated PSA (score -3): probability of normalization <10%.
  • Score -1: approximately 20%.
  • Score 0: approximately 30%.
  • Score 2: 50–60%.

Clinically, this means:

  • For patients with a first elevated PSA result , repeat testing offers substantial benefit.
  • If PSA remains above the threshold on at least two consecutive tests , repeat testing offers little benefit. In this situation, multiparametric prostate MRI or biopsy may be a more appropriate next diagnostic step.
  • For patients with three consecutive elevated PSA results , the likelihood of normalization is almost zero.

⚠️ Clinical Significance

These data show that PSA fluctuations are common and repeat testing often prevents unnecessary biopsies. However, in patients whose PSA remains persistently elevated on consecutive tests , repeat testing has little benefit. Proceeding directly to further diagnostic assessment may be appropriate for this group.

🔍 Study Limitations

  • Lifestyle and medication factors affecting PSA were not included in the analysis.
  • Only annual testing was evaluated; shorter intervals were not examined.
  • Men diagnosed with prostate cancer were excluded.

📚 Source

Pickersgill NA, Peré MM, Vertosick EA, et al. Prostate-Specific Antigen Levels Among Participants Receiving Annual Testing. JAMA Oncology. Published online: 18 September 2025. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2025.3386

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